FCIP Calibrated and Synthetic Data Catalogue

Research-ready data sets for the U.S. Federal Crop Insurance Program (FCIP), built from public USDA Risk Management Agency records: calibrated sub-county yields, correlated revenue scenarios under RMA’s own simulation framework, reconstructed contract choice sets, and synthetic pseudo-producer panels. The collections are documented in six methodological articles, ordered as book chapters.

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Chapter 1 An integrated data system Motivation, the revealed-information identification logic, and a map of the four stages.

Chapter 2 Preparing FCIP transactions Yield-equivalence conversion and inversion of the RMA rating function.

Chapter 3 Calibrating sub-county yields The constrained minimum-distance calibration, validated against 148,243 farm records.

Chapter 4 Correlated revenue scenarios 500 joint yield-price realizations per contract under the M-13 framework.

Chapter 5 Reconstructing choice sets The feasible contract menu for every transaction, evaluated on common scenarios.

Chapter 6 Synthetic producer panels Cause-of-loss attribution and pseudo-producer panels on RMA rainfall-index grids.

Each article’s Data availability section states the collection name, host repository, and access instructions.

Recommended citation

If you use these data in your research, please cite the catalogue and the methodology paper:

Tsiboe, F. (2026). FCIP calibrated and synthetic data catalogue. https://ftsiboe.github.io/rfcipCalibrate/

Tsiboe, F., Turner, D., & Yu, J. (2025). Utilizing large-scale insurance data sets to calibrate sub-county level crop yields. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 92(1), 139–165. https://doi.org/10.1111/jori.12494

This product uses data provided by USDA/RMA but is neither endorsed by nor affiliated with USDA or the U.S. Government.