Risk management & the U.S. farm safety net

Background & policy

(2026). “Size and Growth of the United States Crop Insurance Portfolio, 2025.” ARPC Report. Full text
Rising Costs, Falling Prices (2025). “Regional Disparities Deepen Farm Financial Stress.” ARPC Brief. Full text
(2025). “Evolution of US Federal Crop-Insurance Plans.” ARPC Brief. Full text
Hagerman et al (2025). “Mitigating Structural Inequities in US Agricultural Risk Management.” JAAE. Full text
(2025). “Analysis of the US Sugar Safety Net and A Potential Sugar Beet Revenue Protection Program.” ARPC Report. Full text
Baldwin (2024). “Recent Developments in Ad Hoc Assistance Programs for Agricultural Producers.” USDA ERS EIB. Full text
Baldwin (2024). “US Agricultural Policy Review 2023.” USDA ERS EIB. Full text
Baldwin (2023). “US Agricultural Policy Review 2021.” USDA ERS EIB. Full text
Baldwin (2023). “US Agricultural Policy Review 2022.” USDA ERS EIB. Full text
Turner (2023). “Federal Programs for Agricultural Risk Management.” USDA ERS EIB. Full text

(2026). “Continued Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage (PRF) Insurance Expansion in 2026.” ARPC Brief. Full text
(2026). “Early Signals for Supplemental Crop Insurance Adoption Under Partial OBBBA Implementation.” ARPC Brief. Full text
(2025). “Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage (PRF) Insurance Expansion and Emerging Limits to Growth.” ARPC Brief. Full text
Tsiboe & Turner (2023). “Econometric Identification of Crop Insurance Participation.” ARER. Full text
Tsiboe & Turner (2023). “The Crop Insurance Demand Response to Premium Subsidies (US).” Food Policy. Full text
Turner & Tsiboe (2022). “The Crop Insurance Demand Response to the Wildfire and Hurricane Indemnity.” AEPP. Full text

Tsiboe (2026). “Routine Actuarial Adjustments Cut Taxpayer Cost in Subsidized Agricultural Insurance.” AEPP. Full text
(2026). “Routine Pricing Adjustments Help Keep Crop Insurance Costs in Check.” ARPC Brief. Full text
Tsiboe & Tack (2022). “Utilizing Topographic and Soil Features to Improve Rating for Farm-level Insurance.” AJAE. Full text

(2026). “The Actuarial Performance of Prevented Planting Buy-Up Coverage.” ARPC Brief. Full text
(2026). “Ending Prevented Planting Buy-Ups Changes Insurance Choices and Expands Program Risk.” ARPC Brief. Full text
(2026). “What Ending Prevented Planting Buy-Ups Means for Farmers’ Insurance Costs.” ARPC Brief. Full text
Prevented Planting After Buy-Up Elimination (2026). “Coverage Level Substitution, Producer Costs, and Enhanced Premium Subsidies (OBBB).” ARPC White Paper. Full text
Prevented Planting Buy-Up Elimination (2026). “Adoption, Actuarial Performance, and Pre-Planting Risk Management Options.” ARPC White Paper. Full text
Prevented Planting Buy-Up Coverage (2025). “Payments and Policy Changes.” ARPC Brief. Full text
Turner et al (2025). “Actuarial Implications of Prevented Planting Coverage.” AEPP. Full text

(2025). “Crop Insurance Premium and Interest Deferrals in a Time of Rising Farm Costs.” ARPC Brief. Full text
(2025). “What Repeated Crop Insurance Premium Interest Deferrals Mean for Farmers.” ARPC Brief. Full text
When Disaster Strikes the Billing Date (2025). “A Scoping Review of Crop Insurance Interest Deferrals.” ARPC White Paper. Full text

(2026). “Are Crop Yields Becoming More Stable and Higher Evidence from US County-Level Data Since 1980.” ARPC Brief. Full text
(2025). “A Horse Race Comparison of County-Level Crop Yield Prediction Methods.” ARPC Brief. Full text
Tsiboe, Turner & Yu (2024). “Utilizing Large-scale Insurance Data Sets to Calibrate Sub-county Level Crop Yields.” JRI. Full text

Tsiboe, Tack & Yu (2023). “Farm-level Evaluation of Area- and Agroclimatic-based Index Insurance.” JAAEA. Full text

(2026). “Agricultural Insurance Association with Farm Technology and Technical Efficiency.” ARPC Working Paper. Full text
(2025). “Crop Insurance Generally Improves Farm Revenues but Effects Vary by Policy Type.” ARPC Brief. Full text
Turner et al. (2025). “Crop Insurance Participation and Cover Crop Use.” JAAE. Full text

Tsiboe & Turner (2025). “Incorporating Buy-up Price Loss Coverage into the United States Farm Safety Net.” AEPP. Full text
Tsiboe et al. (2025). “Risk Reduction Impacts of Crop Insurance in the United States.” AEPP. Full text
Gaku & Tsiboe (2025). “Evaluation of Alternative Farm Safety Net Program Combination Strategies.” AFR. Full text

(2026). “Crop Insurance and Nitrogen Reduction Under Elevated Fertilizer Prices.” ARPC White Paper. Full text
Turner (2024). “Potential Budgetary Impacts of Climate Change on the Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage Insurance Plan.” USDA ERS EB. Full text